Background on Ray Robison: An ISG member, who analyzed, digitized and archived the documents in the above referenced book under a subcontract with the Defence Intelligence Agency. He is currently a Military Operations Research Analyst with a major defense contractor, doing missile research analysis in Huntsville, Alabama. A former army officer with over ten years of military duty, Robison served in the Gulf War and Kosovo. He holds a B.S. in Biology (pre-medicine) from the University of Tampa.
The credentials of one of his co-authors, Richard Dunaway is no less impressive. A third co-author's identity is protected for security/safety reasons. "Sammi al Hadir", his nom de plume, lived in the ME, and now lives in the USA.
I've little to comment on personally since Robison's column can't be summarized. But his overview - linking the little publicized US strategy and battles in Afghanistan, their underlying work with the Pakistani govt, and even a possible reason for the desperate and thwarted terrorist plot by Germany and their arrest of a terror cell called into action - provide an awesome "big picture" of the composite workings of the WOT strategy on all theatres.... and just how it may be successfully splitting the AQ and jihadist rogue sectors in two at their very foundation. All in all, a military analyses our myopic media hounds - who see only daily suicide bombs and battles as a sign of defeat - could never fathom. It is a puzzle they are incapable of assembling.
If this global analysis of the composite strategy is correct, it may also be the reason that the leading Dem candidates are so reluctant to obligate to an outright troop withdrawal if they win the WH, as it's said that Bush is doing some one on one briefing with one or more of the candidates.
Excerpts won't cut it here. Instead of reprinting this in it's entirety, I'll provide the opening paragraphs, and insist you travel to the article in full to get the impact of his full military analysis.
There are signs that the global Islamic jihad movement is splitting apart, in what would be a tremendous achievement for American strategy. The center of the action is in Pakistan and Afghanistan, the very territory which is thought to harbor Usama, and from which Al Qaeda was able to launch 9/11. Capitalizing on existing splits, a trap was set and closed, and the benefits have only begun to be evident.
There were already signs of a split, but recent events strengthen that trend. In March and again in May of this year I reviewed relevant South Asian media reporting to predict that the global Islamic jihad movement was cracking up. That theory focused on a split between the leadership
of al Qaeda and the jihad groups that secure them in Pakistan such as the Taliban.
NBC News reports that a large operation is ongoing at the Tora Bora fortress in the mountains along the Afghani-Paki border and we may have just missed Usama bin Laden. I must admit that this caught me off guard. The US media has not been talking about a fight there at all, much less a large scale battle with al Qaeda leadership. So I perused one of my favorite anti-terror blogs The Jawa Report. Jawa has a link to another blog called the Internet Anthropologist which has been tracking what is going on in Tora Bora.
The Trap (continue reading by clicking here...)